New AL Senate Runoff Poll: Moore Leads
(Atlanta) – A new Alabama survey of likely 2017 primary voters for the U.S. Senate Republican Primary Runoff was released today. The Trafalgar Group (TFG), recognized for having the most accurate polling in the 2016 battleground states and Electoral College projection, conducted the poll from September 23rd through September 24th.
TFG conducted this survey of 1073 respondents from a random stratified selection of likely 2017 primary voters. The margin of error is +/- 2.98.
56.74% Roy Moore
Robert Cahaly, Senior Strategist and Chief Pollster at Trafalgar Group said, “Our attempt here was to measure the closing weekend impact of the Trump visit on the race as well as the effect on Trump’s approval. Though the president’s visit doesn’t seem to have swayed the race in favor of Strange, it does appear to have reinforced his personal support among Alabama Republicans which now stands at almost 80% favorability.”
Cahaly also stated, “My ending conclusion is, when the candidate’s credentials and background match what made you like the president, the president’s words don’t change your mind on a candidate. They like the president, and the support the president, they just think he’s wrong on this. They see Moore as their guy.”
The Trafalgar Group is widely recognized as the most accurate polling firm of the 2016 election cycle, correctly forecasting the results in key battleground and other states (PA, FL, NC, MI, OH, CO, GA) and exactly predicting the Trump electoral college margin of victory (306-232). The results and information of their polls have been featured in thousands of U.S. and global news stories, television networks, and high-profile polling web sites like Real Clear Politics.